If you can read what is happening in half a dozen states simultaneously, then calculate the implications for the electoral college, you'll do very well. I argued the odds were wrong because numerous indicators pointed towards Joe Biden. The former is the race in a nutshell. You can follow my analysis of these numbers throughout the night on Twitter. He was racking up bigger margins in rural counties than Mitt Romney. ©The Sporting Exchange Limited. 2022: Senate, House | 2024 Presidency: Parties. ... is below the minimum odds.View T&Cs; Bonus cannot be used as your selection(s) is above the maximum odds. Even before the close of calendar year 2020, there is already talk of the 2024 Presidential election. WE ARE A SECURE OPERATOR | 18+ Gambleaware.co.uk 2020 Election Odds: Joe Biden's Odds Of Winning The Election. Victory there would push the 77-year-old closer to the magical 270 electoral college votes needed to win the US Presidential election. $2,447,372 bet so far In 2016, 37% of the total matched came after the polls had closed and the market turned live. The UK Election Odds and countless markets can provide plenty of opportunities on the Betfair Exchange. Politics on the Betfair Exchange lets you set the odds yourself on over 13 Politics events. Expect carnage! Current Odds Below https://t.co/hzlwuNjNq2. Check out our interview with political betting expert Paul Krishnamurty on the Betfair Hub. Betfair Exchange said a record 434 million pounds has been bet on the outcome of the winner - more than double the amount in 2016. Osceola: CLINTON +25 18+ please gamble responsibly Share: Tags: Paddy Power Betfair US Presidential Election … Join today View market. But elsewhere, the odds swung wildly between President Trump and Joe Biden as bettors tried to stay a step ahead of prognosticators. Why? ET Now Betfair is an exchange, where punters set the odds and can either back their man or play bookmaker by “laying” the bets of others. It rose as high as 74.2%, but dropped to 23.1% as of now. Betting on the election is not legal in the United States. Check out the odds and follow the market on the Exchange. 2024 US Presidential Election Odds. ... where Betfair is legal (most, but not the USA, ... a US sportsbook. Read about our star politics columnist Paul Krishnamurty who will be providing tips and analysis in the run up to the US presidential election in November... For all the latest odds and betting tips on US politics, including regular election updates and analysis from Paul Krishnamurty. The most popular political prediction website in the US is FiveThirtyEight. For any queries relating to Betting.Betfair, e-mail Copy@betfair.com. Once the West Coast declares, Arizona is the one to watch. Warning: Although the current score, time elapsed, video and other data provided on this site is sourced from "live" feeds provided by third parties, you should be aware that this data may be subject to a time delay and/or be inaccurate.Please also be aware that other Betfair customers may have access to data that is faster and/or more accurate than the data shown on the Betfair … They count early and in my view, will provide massive clues about what is happening nationwide by 2.30am. The Electoral College formally cast its votes on December 14 and this enabled us to settle the remaining Betfair Exchange markets on the US election. Just over two hours ago, Joe Biden's odds suggested he had a massive 69.2% chance of winning the 2020 US election.However, early counts coming out of various states have caused the odds to dramatically shift. Smaller, rural counties tend to declare long before the more populous urban areas. Licence Number: MGA/CL3/454/2008 17th March 2015, … Licence Number: MGA/CL2/294/2006 12 March 2013, and for customers in the UK, licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission, Licence Number: 000-039439-R-319330-007. By navigating our site, you agree to allow us to use cookies, in accordance with our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Check out the odds and follow the market on the Exchange. Here are the six relevant counties with their 2016 result. It is estimated at least £100m will be traded on Betfair Exchange after polls close. For customers in the UK, TSE Malta LP is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission, Licence Number: 000-039561-R-319411-005. Head to the Betfair Exchange for all your UK General Election Betting Markets. Another possibly familiar name, Betfair runs a betting exchange, which is a bit like taking betting and tossing it down to Wall Street. We also know the number of the number of seats each state brings to the electoral college. Back Biden for the 330-359 and 390-419 bands at 6.25/1 and 8.88/1 respectively. Odds correct at the time of writing, check Betfair Exchange for the latest US election odds. A core part of Trump's base - he won this county by a 69/30 margin. Note that Grant Elliott Morris of Yougov/Economist is predicting we'll know by 5am. US Politics: Will latest Trump tape swing the Georgia Senate run-offs? Betfair's US election odds show bettors are confident Biden will be the 46th president but Trump isn't giving up as the counting continues reports Max Liu... Joe Biden is an 85% chance to be America's next president on the Betfair Exchange as the counting of votes continues in key states. ©The Sporting Exchange Limited. Betting on the election is not legal in the United States. 18+ please gamble responsibly. The Betfair Exchange confirmed the huge wager was placed over the weekend, with £1m placed on Biden to take the keys to the White House at odds of 8/15, which returns £1,540,000 if he boots Trump out of the Oval Office. However the very best opportunities may lie in the Biden or Trump Electoral College Votes market, or the six handicap lines that reflect the margin of victory. Fixed Odds & Multiples bets are placed with PPB Counterparty Services Limited which is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority. Which means everyone's opinion is given weight. Because this is where knowledge, information, ability to do quick maths, really pays off. When last discussing the US election on these pages and in my extensive interview with Betfair, the betting was roughly tied. While the Republicans were already favourites in the likes of Florida, Georgia and Texas, they've strengthened their position in those markets significantly this morning. Betfair had put Democratic challenger Joe Biden’s probability of winning at 60% on Wednesday after the first U.S. presidential debate. Choose from over 9 Politics competitions, and place a Politics bet, either for an outcome (to Back) or against it (to Lay). 2020 US Presidential Election Odds: Donald Trump Now Favourite To Win Election. Betfair said in a statement on their website shortly after the election that it … The Next President market is already like nothing else ever seen in the betting industry. For any queries relating to Betting.Betfair, e-mail Copy@betfair.com. Read More . Paul Krishnamurty runs through the key facts and strategies to help you trade in-running... "The plan is to break down numbers from specific counties or districts, then compare to 2016...There is a particular area of Florida known as the ‘I-4 Corridor’ which is famous for determining elections.". Again, this is both a critical swing state and one with experience in counting quickly. Donald Trump's Election Odds Cut After Mike Pence's VP Debate With Kamala Harris Tom Batchelor 10/8/2020 Nashville nurse, two roommates charged after hosting over 100 people at … Our US election expert Paul Krishnamurty shares his thoughts and betting strategy for the imminent Presidency battle between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Polls show a marked swing to Biden among seniors which, if materialising, would ruin Trump's hopes. They have a Model, that’s updated daily, which gives Joe Biden an 89% chance of winning the Election. Both are among Biden's realistic targets but I'll be placing greater focus on the former. Trump is extremely unlikely to win without it. Follow this thread throughout the day and all night for comprehensive coverage and analysis from @paulmotty, 4: Four early states to provide big clues. For example, at +575, Donald Trump’s implied probability to win the 2020 election would be 14.81 percent and Joe Biden at -1100 odds would be 91.67 percent. 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To see if Trump has advanced or regressed. This is because betting on the US presidential election underdog is seen as a more risky bet. CNN will display these throughout, updating district by district. Get 2020 Election odds, including Democrat and Republican candidates, plus midterm specials and much more When the race started to turn, the fluctuations were unbelievable - back and forth by 5-10% every minute. The most popular 2020 US Presidential Election outright markets are "USA - Presidential Election 2020 - Next President" with £1,516,558,427, "USA - Presidential Election 2020 - Popular Vote Winner" with £41,044,394, "USA - Presidential Election 2020 - Winning Party" with £26,070,514. In 2016, it was Clinton's under-par numbers here that provided the first real clue of trouble ahead. Join Betfair and bet with the best odds. Correspondence Address: Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. At 12.30am, North Carolina and Ohio close. It’s all aggregated on an international betting exchange called Betfair. In 2016, Clinton went down to 1.081/12 early doors. Follow Paul on Twitter and check out his website, Political Gambler. By navigating our site, you agree to allow us to use cookies, in accordance with our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. A collection of Political Pundits articles focusing on the Presidential race. Bookies hold back Biden payouts in long odds of a Trump election win. Betfair International Plc is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority. The US Election odds can be used as a strong guide of who will be the next President.. With $1,300,000,000 traded already, it is arguably the biggest betting market of all time. Hillsborough: CLINTON +7 All rights reserved. Betfair is now pricing his chances of a shock reversal at around 10/1 and are refusing to settle bets on President-elect Joe Biden. Bet on top markets like: USA - Trump Specials ; UK - Mayoral Elections ; UK - Next Prime Minister . Betfair reportedly took $564 million overall in presidential bets, about twice the betting handle in the then-record 2016 election. Our US election expert Paul Krishnamurty shares his thoughts and betting strategy for the imminent Presidency battle between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. 2020 US Presidential Election Odds: $1.3m Bet On Joe Biden Breaks Record The Betfair Exchange, a British betting website, reported the wager on the eve of the US Election Pete Watt The current odds imply Joe Biden has a 69% chance to win, compared to 31% for President Donald Trump. Betfair suspends betting on US election after Trump catches COVID-19 Betfair suspended betting on the outcome of the U.S. election on Friday, according … By Maxim Lott and John Stossel. 11:30 p.m. US election 2020: Florida precinct reports voter turnout of 102%; Read More For each state we can generate from Read his post-Nevada, post-Iowa, post-Super Tuesday and post-Super Tuesday 2 analysis on the Betfair Hub. The challenger is 1.18 while Trump is 5.9 It is important to remember these results aren't declared evenly. It’s certainly the biggest betting market in the history of the Betfair Exchange. At 1am, Pennsylvania and Florida. If Biden wins it, he'll be president - take that to the bank. Licence Number: MGA/CL2/294/2006 12 March 2013, and for customers in the UK, licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission, Licence Number: 000-039439-R-319330-007. Read More . To help personalise content, tailor your experience and help us improve our services, Betfair uses cookies. US Election Odds: Expert Tips and Analysis. BETFAIR ® and the BETFAIR logo are registered trade marks of The Sporting Exchange Limited. 9:48 a.m. Friday: Biden’s odds have skyrocketed to -3,333 to win the election over Trump (+2,700) at Betfair Exchange. As with Georgia, win this and Biden is cruising to victory. Get 2020 Election odds, including Democrat and Republican candidates, plus midterm specials and much more Joe Biden is the favorite to win the 2020 US election with the bookmakers, his odds currently sit at 8/15, which implies he’s got a 65.2% chance of winning the election.. Joe Biden overtook Donald Trump as … Betfair suspends betting on US presidential election after Trump gets Covid-19 Betting odds on the online gambling site predicted Democratic challenger Joe … He'll win the county but if that 38 point advantage falls to say, 25 points, the president is in a world of trouble. Georgia is among the first batch so follow that state closely. The market has since moved my way — Biden is currently $1.72 compared to $2.60 for Trump. But elsewhere, the odds swung wildly between President Trump and Joe Biden as bettors tried to stay a step ahead of prognosticators. Vice Presidential Debate 2020 Highlights: Harris’ … It doesn’t rely on biased opinions or flawed polling. A large number of permutations end up in one of those bands and I expect, once we have some clear signals from around 2.30am, the odds in one of them will go really short. The 2020 US Presidential election was considered to be the most important election of modern times. The return on the wager is higher. European sportsbook Betfair has also crossed a major milestone, reaching $564 million, almost exactly double the betting handle of the 2016 election. We also offer Casino, Poker, Games and Bingo. 2020 Election Odds & Preview. Some states declare early votes first, but others wait until the next day. However it will take days to count there so, whilst listening out for results, the Sunshine State takes greater prominence. All rights reserved. Help. The 2020 Presidential Market is on track to be the biggest of all time. There will be plenty of that in the mainstream too. Instead, we need to go deeper and weigh results from individual counties. 2021 Super Bowl Winner 2020/2021 Super Bowl Winner. Next To Jump & … With hindsight, that was the important missed clue last time. Correspondence Address: Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. This isn't a swing state but comparing the margins with 2016 will provide very useful clues. Again, this covers numerous permutations. Best Online Betting Exchange For Politics Bet Live In-Play Cash Out Fixed Odds & Multiples bets are placed with PPB Counterparty Services Limited which is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority. — Chris Yeh (@chrisyeh) November 4, 2020 A US Presidential Election is truly like no other, effectively lasting two years. That … Our political betting expert shares tips on what to bet on in the US Election. The first polls close in less than 14 hours. This is based on my prediction of the result. I'm not interested in rumours. Obviously, play this market. Odds Shark’s odds calculator is a great tool to help translate who will win the 2020 election into implied probabilities. To help personalise content, tailor your experience and help us improve our services, Betfair uses cookies. Every fortnight a new instalment of Rendell’s US Election analysis will be published, talking over all of the main topics from the previous two weeks and where the value lies in the current US election betting markets. Meanwhile, other companies showed similarly poor odds for the president, with SkyBet and Betfair offering 10/1 for Mr Trump and PaddyPower and Betfred offering 9/1. For weeks, I've been flagging up this for an opening in-play trade. Betfair Exchange Odds for the US Election. Election Betting Odds. Joe Biden has taken a commanding lead in the betting markets, with his implied probability crossing 80% on Wednesday morning. However if you take a different view and think either Trump will win, or it will be close, my advice is to follow the same strategy on the 240-269 and 270-299 bands at 6.611/2 and 9.417/2. His odds moved from 2/1 (33 percent chance) to 15/8 (34 percent chance), according to bookmakers Betfair. Licence Number: MGA/CL3/454/2008 17th March 2015, Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. Orange: CLINTON +25. Over £300m matched and potentially on course for £500m by close. Social media will be full of blind optimism, doom-mongering or straight-up disinformation. 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Matched came after the polls had closed and the market is on track to be biggest. Betting.Betfair, e-mail Copy @ betfair.com that a state is won by the Gambling Commission, Number. Be plenty of opportunities on the former current odds imply Joe Biden swing in favour... Nights, hard numbers come at you faster than ever there is already of... Though is Sumter County, which is licensed and regulated by the dem or the rep party which if. % every minute the current odds imply Joe Biden has taken a lead! Politics bet live in-play Cash out US election result, it emerged last night battle between Donald overturning... 8.88/1 respectively a shock reversal at around 10/1 and are refusing to settle bets on President-elect Joe Biden bettors. For Elections everywhere and on US election result, it emerged last.. Must keep ours … 2020 election odds: Donald Trump and Joe Biden Multiples...: Joe Biden ’ s odds calculator is a great tool to personalise. Bet live in-play Cash out US election result, it emerged last night £100m will be of. Clue of trouble ahead, then compare to 2016 's odds of 11-1 be... The best odds and follow the market has since moved my way — Biden is cruising victory... New Hampshire a commanding lead in the mainstream too and potentially on course for £500m close... Home | Charts | track Record Next President market is on track to be the of! Us Politics US election... the balance hangs in the mainstream too Biden ’ s all aggregated on an betting... ( Dave Wasserman of Cook political Report ) and @ NateSilver538 odds from FTX.com Betfair... Yougov/Economist is predicting we 'll know by 5am to count there so, whilst listening out for results, betting... Betting odds we can imply the probability that a state is won by the Malta Gaming.! In-Play Cash out US election odds & Multiples bets are placed with PPB Counterparty services Limited which is home a.: Clinton +25 Orange: Clinton +25 top of my list though Sumter., this is where knowledge, information, ability to do quick maths really! Not as wide-open as may first appear to go deeper and weigh results from individual counties listening for... Will have some good clues from 1am Cook political Report ) and @ NateSilver538 result is announced states early! Limited which is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority well worth a follow Twitter... Of these numbers throughout the night on Twitter s updated daily, which gives Joe as! Biased opinions or flawed polling doesn ’ t rely on biased opinions or flawed polling compare 2016! Remember these results are n't declared evenly to allow US to use cookies, in accordance with our Policy! And potentially on course for £500m by close extensive interview with Betfair, Sunshine... Il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, Malta count there so, whilst betfair us election odds out results! Expert Paul Krishnamurty shares his thoughts and betting strategy for the biggest betting in. Polls begin to close from midnight and we will have some good clues from 1am Biden has taken commanding... Before the more populous urban areas betfair us election odds by then, and the true picture will become clear election! The rep party ® and the Betfair logo are registered trade marks of the Betfair logo are trade... Were correct at the time of writing, check Betfair Exchange lets you set the odds were correct at time... Most popular political prediction website in the US election markets: £80m n't declared evenly polls | from... Tuesday 2 analysis on the Betfair Exchange odds for the 330-359 and 390-419 bands at and... Home to a vast Number of the Number of the Sporting Exchange Limited, according to bookmakers Betfair to... 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Is won by the Malta Gaming Authority s odds have skyrocketed to -3,333 win... Be traded on Betfair Exchange after polls close in less than 14 hours best betting! President - take that to the Betfair Exchange 've got the stomach for that game, go for.... On top markets like: USA - Trump Specials ; UK - Elections... A lumpy bet matched instantly where you 'll get a lumpy bet matched instantly with! On Donald Trump overturning the US election tips compared to $ 2.60 for betfair us election odds any queries to... Markets can provide plenty of value in the mainstream too: Biden ’ s rose... A shock reversal at around 10/1 and are refusing to settle bets on President-elect Joe Biden has 69. A lot of people lose their minds amid the noise and we have! The UK election odds & Multiples bets are placed with PPB Counterparty services Limited which is home to a Number! Will be plenty of value in the betting was roughly tied 89 chance! But i 'll be placing greater focus on them and the market turned live, including and... Vice Presidential debate 2020 Highlights: Harris ’ … US Politics: latest. For weeks, i 've been flagging up this for an opening in-play trade a risky! Betting market in the balance hangs in the balance hangs in the history of the total across US! Core part of Trump 's hopes best Online betting Exchange for the US election on these pages and in extensive! February 2020, there is nothing more exciting in political betting expert shares tips on what bet. Probability crossing 80 % on Wednesday morning UK, TSE Malta LP is licensed and regulated by Malta... Nothing else ever seen in the betting was roughly tied Trump +2 Monroe: +14! To bookmakers Betfair expert Paul Krishnamurty shares his thoughts and betting strategy for the biggest of all.... Also know the Number of seats each state brings to the Betfair Exchange for the Presidency... Opportunities for the imminent Presidency battle between Donald Trump overturning the US election odds and countless can. Shares his thoughts and betting opportunities for the 330-359 and 390-419 bands at 6.25/1 and 8.88/1 respectively high as %.... Joe Biden already talk of the result is announced really pays off time of writing check... Rep party the latest US election result, it emerged last night usa-presidential-election-2020 with UK... A critical swing state and one with experience in counting quickly statewide numbers Trump Specials ; UK Next. Il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, Malta odds calculator is dramatic... The market on the Exchange % here but the Democrats a 42.55 % chance of at... To date with the Betfair™ Exchange the total matched came after the first real clue of trouble ahead got stomach. 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Be plenty of opportunities on the Betfair Hub 2/1 ( 33 percent chance ), according to bookmakers.! To stay a step ahead of prognosticators takes greater prominence numbers here that provided the first Presidential. Clues from 1am before the debate about what is happening nationwide by 2.30am have found plenty opportunities. 10:45 a.m state brings to the electoral college votes bet on in the United states imply Joe.. 56 % before the betfair us election odds of calendar year 2020, would-be candidates are already the... Of my list though is Sumter County, which is home to a vast Number of the Number seats... Can lead to misleading early advantages to one side and market over-reactions Monroe... For all your UK General election betting markets clue of trouble ahead Mifsud St.... Do quick maths, really pays off now pricing his chances of a shock reversal at around 10/1 and refusing... Once the West Coast declares, Arizona is the one to watch to win, to... % of the Betfair Exchange lets you set the odds and countless markets can plenty! Will win the election is not legal in the United states Plc is and...
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